Transnational organized crime (TOC) imposes significant social and economic costs on many nations, threatening stability in less developed areas and exploiting or creating security gaps in more stable regions. Decades of effort and expense by the US and allies to address TOC has often shifted rather than reduced the problem. Sophisticated, resilient criminal organizations continue to adapt and thrive, particularly where facilitated by corruption, weak institutions, and persistent demand for illicit goods and services.
We helped a government organization develop more rigorous analysis methods to prioritize counter-TOC efforts and more effectively coordinate across its stakeholder network. We used our expertise in complex systems to identify TOC drivers and dynamics, including corrupt police forces, disenfranchised population segments, proximity to regional trade routes, and so on. The framework allows the government organization to prioritize and sequence its counter-TOC efforts, develop best practices for interacting with other agencies and assess progress over time.