PA’s Thomas Goettle, an automotive expert, has been quoted in an article in Het Financieele Dagblad discussing PA’s 2016 CO₂ emissions report. The research reveals several of the major carmakers will struggle to reach the EU’s 2021 emission requirements and they’ll need to take major steps to comply with future demands.
Thomas says: “The car manufacturers will go out of their way to avoid these fines. But it will be a huge challenge to bring the average emission down from 130 grams CO₂ per kilometre to 95 grams in 2021. In recent years there was a heavy investment in diesel technology by German car manufacturers because it creates lower CO₂ emission than petrol. But due to the recent diesel scandal the sales of these cars will fall, and another interim solution will need to be in place to meet the emission targets."
Thomas explains that to reach the targets, a number of carmakers have focused on electric vehicles. However to make a real impact on the targets there’s not enough time, because the development of a new car takes up to four to five years. And even then you won’t have the guarantee that the new electric cars will sell.
BMW was among the first large carmakers to focus on electric vehicles and launched the i3 model some years ago. But sales of the model fell short of expectations which resulted in other car manufacturers adopting a wait-and-see policy.
The carmakers race to 2021 has started
“The most likely scenario will be that manufacturers who are having trouble meeting the European standard before 2021, will bring more hybrid vehicles to the market and go full speed ahead with developing electric cars.”
According to Thomas, car manufacturers won’t dare ask Brussels for leniency. The 95 gram CO₂ emission norm will hold ground. But he doesn’t think it impossible that business groups will lobby for more favourable treatment when commiting to environment friendly cars.